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	<title>Neotropical Birding &#187; migration</title>
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		<title>CLIMATE CHANGE AND NEOTROPICAL BIRDS</title>
		<link>http://neotropicbirding.com/blog/2009/10/14/climate-change-and-neotropical-birds/</link>
		<comments>http://neotropicbirding.com/blog/2009/10/14/climate-change-and-neotropical-birds/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Oct 2009 19:13:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jean Paul Perret</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[birds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Galapagos Penguin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[migration]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://neotropicalbirding.wordpress.com/?p=125</guid>
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<p>The Earth&#8217;s climate is changing, from the North Pole to the peaks of the Andes, average temperatures are rising steadily, glaciers are melting, coasts are been eroded at a rate never seen before. How will these changes affect bird species?</p>
<p align="center"> Glaciers are retreating worldwide © Jeff Huffman</p>
<p>Changes in Distribution and Range</p>
<p>We know that some [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[</p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">The Earth&#8217;s </font><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming"><font size="2" face="Arial">climate is changing</font></a><font size="2" face="Arial">, from the North Pole to the peaks of the Andes, average temperatures are rising steadily, glaciers are melting, coasts are been eroded at a rate never seen before. How will these changes affect bird species?</font></p>
<p align="center"><a href="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/glaciarjhuffmanphotography3.jpg"><img style="display:block;float:none;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto;border-width:0;" title="glaciar jhuffmanPhotography" border="0" alt="glaciar jhuffmanPhotography" src="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/glaciarjhuffmanphotography_thumb3.jpg" width="512" height="343" /></a><font color="#808080" size="1" face="Arial"> Glaciers are retreating worldwide <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jhuffmanphotography/" target="_blank">© Jeff Huffman</a></font></p>
<p><b><font size="2" face="Arial">Changes in Distribution and Range</font></b></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">We know that some plant species are experiencing changes in their latitudinal and altitudinal distribution in response to increased average temperatures worldwide. But these changes in the climate affect not only the distribution maps of many species of plants, but they also produce changes in their </font><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phenology"><font size="2" face="Arial">phenology</font></a><font size="2" face="Arial">, i.e., in periods of flowering and fruiting. There is evidence that these changes in distribution and phenology of plants directly affect nesting periods, distribution, migration times and feeding of many species of birds (2).</font></p>
<p><a href="http://www.plosbiology.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pbio.0050157"><font size="2" face="Arial">Some studies</font></a><font size="2" face="Arial"> indicate that 400 of the 8,750 bird species studied may lose more than half of their range by 2050 due to climate change. This figure could grow to between 900 and 1800 species by 2100 and these changes would primarily affect birds that have restricted ranges in the tropics (3).</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">A study from the United States using data from the past 40 years showed that 60% of the 305 species of birds that winter in that country have changed their ranges, moving on average 35 miles to the north.</font></p>
<p><a href="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/bacc_map2.jpg"><img style="display:block;float:none;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto;border-width:0;" title="BACC_map" border="0" alt="BACC_map" src="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/bacc_map_thumb1.jpg" width="512" height="460" /></a> </p>
<p><b><font size="2" face="Arial">The Neotropical Region </font></b></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">There are fewer studies on how climate change will specifically impact birds in the Neotropical region. However there are some model-based studies that allow us to get an idea about the future of the birds of our region.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">For example, research based on climate change models related to the savannas of the Cerrado in Brazil predict significant changes in the distribution of bird species up to 390 km to the southeast of the country. These changes in distribution could result in the extinction of some species of birds due to the fact that the new area of habitation for the birds is urbanized or is used for intensive agriculture, thus leaving the birds with less habitat (4). </font></p>
<p align="center"><a href="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/whitebelliedcinclodesrgibbo31.jpg"><img style="display:block;float:none;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto;border-width:0;" title="white bellied cinclodes rgibbo3" border="0" alt="white bellied cinclodes rgibbo3" src="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/whitebelliedcinclodesrgibbo3_thumb1.jpg" width="512" height="343" /></a> <font size="1"><font color="#808080" face="Arial">White-bellied Cinclodes, an endangered bird that inhabit the highlands of the PeruvianAndes <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/rgibbo3/" target="_blank">© Richard Gibbons</a></font></font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Another study using models on the distribution of 49 species of Manakins predicts that at least 20% of these species could become extinct if climate change continues and at least half of them could lose about 80% of their current distribution (1). </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">On the Peruvian coast, changes in ocean currents associated with the </font><a href="http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/"><font size="2" face="Arial">El Niño</font></a><font size="2" face="Arial"> phenomenon, have a devastating effect on populations of seabirds. During the El Niño of 1997, approximately 70% of the population of Humboldt Penguins was lost. But more troubling is the situation of the Galapagos Penguin where populations of these endangered penguins have dropped by half since early 1970. During El Niño, adult penguins failed to reproduce in response to changes in the amount of fish that are part of their diet. It is expected that due to the effects of climate change, El Niño events will be more frequent in the future, further reducing these small populations of restricted Galapagos penguins and threatening them with extinction. </font></p>
<p align="center"><a href="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/galapagospenguinstirwise1.jpg"><img style="display:block;float:none;margin-left:auto;margin-right:auto;border-width:0;" title="galapagos penguin stirwise" border="0" alt="galapagos penguin stirwise" src="http://neotropicalbirding.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/galapagospenguinstirwise_thumb1.jpg" width="512" height="342" /></a><font color="#808080" size="1" face="Arial"> Galapagos Penguin</font> <font color="#808080" size="1" face="Arial"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/stirwise/" target="_blank">© Kerry Lannert</a></font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Another species vulnerable to climate change is the critically endangered </font><a href="http://www.birdlife.org/datazone/species/index.html?action=SpcHTMDetails.asp&amp;sid=9063&amp;m=0"><font size="2" face="Arial">Pale-headed Brush-finch</font></a><font size="2" face="Arial">, rediscovered in 1998. Its habitat consists of a small shrub zone south of the Ecuadorian Andes. However, the small area where they live is going through changes in vegetation and therefore has initiated a management program preventing forest growths. Without human intervention, probably would not be available habitat for this bird. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">You can make a difference. Here you will find some </font><a href="http://birdsandclimate.audubon.org/WhatUCanDo.html"><font size="2" face="Arial">tips to combat the impact of climate change on birds</font></a><font size="2" face="Arial">.</font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">Need more information? For more information, please check out </font><a href="http://www.partnersinflight.org/climate_change/bibliography.cfm"><font size="2" face="Arial">Partners in Flight</font></a><font size="2" face="Arial">, a site which has an extensive bibliography on birds and climate change.</font></p>
<p><b><font size="2" face="Arial">References:</font></b></p>
<ol>
<li><font size="2" face="Arial">Anciães M. and A. Townsend Peterson (2006) Climate change effects on neotropical manakin diversity based on ecological niche modeling. <u>The Condor</u> 108(4): 778-791. </font></li>
<li><font size="2" face="Arial">Humphrey Q. P. Crick (2004) The impact of climate change on birds. <u>Ibis</u> Vol. 146 s1: 48-56</font></li>
<li><font size="2" face="Arial">Jetz W, Wilcove DS, Dobson AP, (2007) Projected Impacts of Climate and Land-Use Change on the Global Diversity of Birds. PLoS Biol 5(6): e157. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.0050157</font></li>
<li><font size="2"><font face="Arial">Marini MA, Barbet-Massi<br />
n M, Lopes LE, Jiguet F. (2009) Predicted Climate-Driven Bird Distribution Changes and Forecasted Conservation Conflicts in a Neotropical Savanna. <u>Conservation Biology</u></font></font></li>
</ol>
<p><i><font size="2" face="Arial">All photos under Creative Commons License</font></i></p>
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